After a long weekend, the market got a decent start to the new week from favorable European economic reports this morning and our own political “calm before the storm.” Last week was frankly more upbeat than many expected as the market continued its advance to new highs, albeit slowly. And it was a quiet one ahead of the President’s Day weekend with a less partisan State of The Union speech from the President.

Stocks are inching ever forward, but investors are showing plenty of indecisiveness along the way. They might be suffering from acrophobia—fear of heights. Their trepidation is reflected not only in the ongoing price consolidation as the major market averages struggle at long-term highs, but also in the extremely low trading volume.

Regardless of what I say, the market clearly wants a plan from the President and Congress so that sequestration can be avoided on March 1, 18 days from now.

Our forward-looking SectorCast predicts things won’t go well—for the first time in the history of the model, the top three sectors, Consumer Cyclicals, Non-Cyclicals, and Technology, are all flight-to-safety. Last week, the market eked out a slight gain. While all style/caps were positive, only two sectors were positive on a cap-weighted basis: Consumer Cyclicals and Technology. The rest were mostly marginally negative.

Well, Punxsutawney Phil didn’t see his shadow on Saturday, so the weather forecast is positive. However, investors having their own version of Groundhog Day at Dow 14,000 and S&P500 1500 are still trying to decide whether to retreat to safety in anticipation of a severe market pullback. Weakness on Tuesday seemed like the start of a correction, but alas the bulls would have none of that.

January was a good month for the market as the S&P 500 reached a new 5-year high at 1498, up about 5% for the month.  February has started strong, up yet another 1%. Mid-caps dominated the month along with Small-caps, but no style/cap did poorly.  For the month, the leading sectors were Healthcare, up a whopping 9%, as our forward looking SectorCast had predicted, along with Industrials, up about 8.5%, followed by Financials and Energy, up about 8%.

Stocks have been on a one-way train all month long. Now, as we approach Groundhog Day, the market appears to be having its own version of it as the Dow faces 14,000 and the S&P 500 struggles at 1500. As investors peer out above these levels, will they collectively see their shadow and retreat to safety for the next six weeks? Or will they bravely march forward into the clear blue skies to challenge the all-time highs from 2007?

We come into the week riding a new five-year high for the S&P 500 and eight consecutive positive trading sessions.  But a busy week lies ahead with a bevy of economic reports and a boatload of Q4 earnings.  So far we’ve only had a peek at the first couple economic reports, and they were mixed with Durable Goods riding transportation to beat an expected 1.7% increase (after last month’s 0.7% increase) with a solid 4.6% gain.  However Pending Home Sales

Earnings season is in full swing, and on balance, investors are liking what they hear. Tech leaders Google (GOOG) and IBM (IBM) got bought in truckloads after their fine earnings reports, although Apple (AAPL) disappointed after the close on Wednesday.

First and foremost, the week will be filled with important earning reports, along with forward guidance from most reporting companies.  Google (GOOG), Texas Instruments (TXN), and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) kick off the week for the Technology sector after today’s market.  Delta Airlines (DAL) met its projected numbers and is being rewarded as we write with a 3.3% gain.  The Materials Sector (XLB) is doing well following strong earnings reports by Freep

Earnings reports on Wednesday from big banks like Goldman Sachs (GS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) were encouraging. And Apple (AAPL) got a much-needed boost from the top tech analysts. However, Goldman’s analysts tried to throw a wet blanket on the markets earlier this week with their expectation that earnings reports overall this year would be “uninspiring” and that equity returns this year likely will be only in the single digits.