Early last week, stocks broke out, with the S&P 500 setting a new high with blue skies overhead. But then the market basically flat-lined for the rest of the week as bulls just couldn’t gather the fuel and conviction to take prices higher. In fact, the technical picture now has turned a bit defensive, at least for the short term, thus joining what has been a neutral-to-defensive tilt to our fundamentals-based Outlook rankings.

Last week, neither Fed Chairmen Bernanke nor European Central Bank (ECB) President Draghi committed their respective organizations to a specific solution to the economic woes of the U.S. or Europe. President Draghi’s firm statement last week that “the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the Euro” lacked substance. Yet, that statement sent the S&P 500 roaring up +3.56% over July 26 and 27.

Banks Fairly Valued and Contributing to Market Strength

Continuing last week’s strength, Financials and Technology led the market again today. Banks were up nearly +2% intraday, although they lost some of their steam when put-option trades in Financial ETFs reached 4-month highs.  Last week, they roared ahead +7%, and they are now up more than +20% year-to-date.

Quintuple Witching Economic Indicator Week

The stock market is behaving extremely well from a technical perspective. And why not? The world seems stable enough to give investors the confidence to maintain a “risk-on” allocation. Sure, there is still plenty to worry about. But more and more, investors are growing bolder. The Dow is at its highest level since 2008 and wants to challenge 13,000. The Nasdaq is at its highest level since 2000.