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The stock market has continued its bullish ways—thanks to indications of an improving U.S. economy and diminished concerns about Europe’s economic stability. The S&P 500 finished January up +4.4%, while the “riskier” Nasdaq finished the month up 8.0% and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 7.7%. Yes, investors are boldly embracing the “risk on” trade. 

For better or for worse, as investors we are generally suckers for a good stock recommendation. Trouble is, we frequently end up getting suckered by that very same “sure thing.” Well, doing one’s own due diligence is a reasonable antidote for bad counsel. On the other hand, what about those rare cases when the due diligence behind the proffered equities has effectively been done?

The “risk-on” trade seems to be hanging tough as more than a passing fad. Risk-off means that money is flowing into safe havens like U.S. Treasuries and solid currencies like the U.S. dollar and Swiss franc; whereas risk-on means that money is flowing into more speculative assets like equities, commodities, emerging markets, and higher yielding currencies.

Stocks are maintaining their bullish sentiment for the New Year. The proverbial “wall of worry” remains high and intimidating, but bulls traditionally prefer it this way. It makes the less optimistic investors keep a store of cash, and it keeps the bears pumping money into short positions—both of which can provide fresh fuel for stocks when idle cash gets put to work and the bears start covering their shorts.