Scott MartindaleStocks have shown some resiliency this week as they have made an attempt to recover from last week’s weakness, which was primarily due to the imminent threat of a US strike on Syria. Also, the senior portfolio managers are returning to the fold after taking some time off in late August, and they are likely seeing more opportunities than threats at the moment.

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Today’s major indices ended in the black, and we believe the market is more likely to continue to go up than down over the remainder of the year. That said, the market is being buffeted by a number of strong headwinds. 

The Syrian crisis tops the list, with the expected outcome changing almost hourly. Surprises have been frequent. The British decided against involvement. President Obama decided to go to Congress.  Congress is waffling as usual, but Obama is getting a little more support than initially expected.

david / Tag: PRAA, TRN, AFSI / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleStock market bears needed a new weapon to fight off bold bulls, and they found it in the same place that WMD’s often emerge -- in the Middle East, this time in Syria. In this case, however, I’m not talking about a weapon of mass destruction, but rather a weapon of market destruction.

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, EEM, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYE, IYJ, IDU, IYC, IYM, IYZ, IYH, CTSH, HRS, AMG, RE / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleAnxious bulls no doubt are looking for ways to rustle awake this sleepy late-summer stock market, before the bears stealthily bring it down. Investors’ focus has been on the Fed and what it might do next month, and Wednesday’s release of the July FOMC meeting minutes showed almost all the voting members supported no change in stimulus, with only a few hawks insisting that tapering should begin sooner.

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, SPY, VIX, CSCO, WMT, AAPL, VMW, MA, PB, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYE, IYJ, IYZ, IYM, IDU, IYH, IYC / 0 Comments

Today, the tepid market had virtually no new data from corporate earnings or the economy, and slid lower throughout the day, especially near the closing. But the 10-year bond yield hit a two-year high at 2.9% and closed at 2.88%.

The increase in bond rates should have been expected with the Fed minutes due Wednesday. The market hates uncertainty. However, it is very certain that the longer-term rates will go higher. The Fed’s annual conference with economists begins Thursday in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, without Chairman Bernanke’s presence. Very few new “certainties” are likely to come out of the symposium. The bottom line: It is a bad time for bonds but should be a good time for stocks. 

david / Tag: SWFT, MYGN SNTS, MTH / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleBond yields have crept back up to near multi-year highs as the bond market appears to be anticipating some measure of tapering in the Fed’s monthly bond-buying program. This undoubtedly has caused some hesitancy among stock investors, too. And then there are the looming debt ceiling and budget battles, as well as concern about slowing corporate earnings growth. And let’s not forget the comparisons to 1987 we are hearing, with Marc Faber (a.k.a., “Dr.

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYE, IYJ, IYH, IDU, IYC, IYZ, IYM, CACI, WDC, V, SIVB, AAPL, IRE, EIRL / 0 Comments

Today was a flat market day with the DJIA and the S&P off a small amount while NASDAQ gained a few points. But it was better than last week when all style/caps ended the week in the red. Large-cap value was down the least, at -0.8%, while small-cap value was down the most, at -1.11%. 

Four stocks that don't ordinarily make the cut for our institutional portfolios piqued my interest in today's market. One had only two analysts reporting estimates; all had dividends, but none were as high as 2%. For these reasons, they were eliminated from consideration for our institutional portfolios. Yet, all are interesting growth companies, reasonably priced, and in multiple sectors.

david / Tag: SNDK, LAD, TRN, WIRE / 0 Comments
  • Scott MartindaleStock investors are surveying the view from these lofty heights, with the S&P 500 trying to hold up just below the 1700 level, and they appear to be feeling some vertigo. They are wondering if there will be a catalyst to take stocks higher before Labor Day, or if the dreaded correction is imminent. However, my concern is that investors might be hamstrung by a perceived no-win situation.

smartindale / Tag: iShares, ETF, sectors, SPY, VIX, CACI, VMW, AMG, MTB, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYE, IYH, IYZ, IYM, IYC, IYJ, IDU, OFIX, RL, HAE, OTEX, INFN, KBR / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleOverall, earnings reports have continued to beat the low bar of expectations.

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, CVLT, HRS, CTSH, QCOM, AMP, PRAA, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYJ, IYE, IYC, IYM, IYZ, IDU, IYH / 0 Comments

We finally had another down week, albeit by the slimmest of margins. This next week promises to be the most important week of the month and, in all likelihood, next month as well. We get the ADP employment report, the FOMC meeting announcement, the first look at Q2 GDP, the Chicago PMI, the consumer confidence report, and more.  Undoubtedly, today’s weakness was based on investor apprehension about this week’s news and continued corporate reports.

Last week’s economic reports were mixed, and the style/caps were simply “mixed up.”  Our style/cap scorecard was turned on its head last week with year-long loser Large-Cap Growth up +0.26% to become the week’s leader and the last year leader (and still leader for the year) Small-Cap Value, bringing up the rear for the week at -0.15%.

david / Tag: AMP, IGTE, LII, RXT / 0 Comments

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