From the Fed, from Congress and President, and from Europe for starters. Chairman Bernanke may give us the former as he testifies on Tuesday and Wednesday this week.  Congress must act by Friday over the sequestration issues.  And Italy could’ve helped a bit today if its election resulted in a more stable government, although that does appear to be happening. Read more about What the Market Wants: The Market Wants Clarity Now!

david / Tag: DAL, AAPL, ABBV, TYN, VIX, VXX / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleLast week, the Dow and S&P 500 large caps hit five-year highs, the Russell 2000 small caps and the S&P 400 mid-caps made all-time highs, and the Nasdaq recorded a 12-year closing high. But some investors are evidently showing concern that it has all come too far too fast. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls seek new blood to boost conviction

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, SPY, VIX, ESRX, AAPL, TECD, RE, V, iyw, IYF, IYH, IYJ, IYE, IYK, IYC, IYZ, IDU, IYM, KSS, LEAP, CHK, MPC, AL, MTW, NXPI / 0 Comments

Regardless of what I say, the market clearly wants a plan from the President and Congress so that sequestration can be avoided on March 1, 18 days from now.

Our forward-looking SectorCast predicts things won’t go well—for the first time in the history of the model, the top three sectors, Consumer Cyclicals, Non-Cyclicals, and Technology, are all flight-to-safety. Last week, the market eked out a slight gain. While all style/caps were positive, only two sectors were positive on a cap-weighted basis: Consumer Cyclicals and Technology. The rest were mostly marginally negative. Read more about What the Market Wants: New Twist on Flight to Safety

david / Tag: AAPL, CF, Dk, MPC / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleEarnings season is in full swing, and on balance, investors are liking what they hear. Tech leaders Google (GOOG) and IBM (IBM) got bought in truckloads after their fine earnings reports, although Apple (AAPL) disappointed after the close on Wednesday. Read more about Sector Detector: Good news and earnings propel stocks as fear abates

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, AAPL, GOOG, VAR, COO, FFIV, VMW, ISRG, IYH, iyw, IYF, IYM, IYK, IYC, IYE, IDU / 0 Comments

Earnings reports on Wednesday from big banks like Goldman Sachs (Scott MartindaleGS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) were encouraging. And Apple (AAPL) got a much-needed boost from the top tech analysts. However, Goldman’s analysts tried to throw a wet blanket on the markets earlier this week with their expectation that earnings reports overall this year would be “uninspiring” and that equity returns this year likely will be only in the single digits. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls resist giving up any ground

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, IYH, iyw, IYK, IYM, IYJ, IYE, IYF, IYZ, IDU, IYC, AAPL, GS, JPM, DVA, COO, CTSH, IT, SPY, VIX, DEF, NFO, KNOW, CSCO, FCX / 0 Comments

Congress got its act together just enough to stave off the fiscal cliff. Unfortunately, they merely added a long “pirate plank” to the edge of the cliff, as spending was not addressed. So the country has stepped off the cliff and now we are “walking the plank,” albeit without the blindfold since we know when the debt ceiling and sequestration are scheduled to kick in. Read more about Sector Detector: Rankings stay defensive despite the relief rally

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, VIX, SPY, IYH, IYK, IYE, iyw, IYF, IYJ, IYM, IYC, IDU, IYZ, DVA, GILD, MIDD, MON, AAPL / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleSanta Claus is trying his hardest to keep spirits bright among stock investors. But the President and the House are not playing nice and just might find a lump of coal in their stockings. Neither appears willing to give an inch, so some observers predict that we will indeed go over the fiscal cliff, at least until mid-January. Read more about Sector Detector: Santa tries to “sleigh” the fiscal cliff

smartindale / Tag: ETF, sectors, iShares, SPY, VIX, iyw, IYK, IYH, IYF, IYE, IYJ, IYC, IYZ, IYM, IDU, AAPL, CERN, TECD, NVR, SJM, TIF, JOSB / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleI am not going to mention the nickname for the dominant issue of the day, since you are probably on the verge of screaming if you here it again (hint: initials are F.C.). But, unfortunately, we all remain hostage to the relentless political posturing of our elected officials during these critical budget negotiations. Not that we haven’t asked for it. Read more about Sector Detector: Tech shows best valuations as budget negotiation continues

smartindale / Tag: ETF, sectors, iShares, iyw, IYK, IYH, IYF, IYE, IYJ, IYC, IYM, IYZ, IDU, AAPL, SPY, VIX, MW, STX, OCN, WNR, IDCC, PII / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleI was supposed to be in New York City this week, but Sandy the super storm had other ideas. Some writers are suggesting that since the storm has passed, we can all start getting back to business. But of course, some densely-populated areas In New York and New Jersey have been so devastated that normalcy is a long ways off. Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks attempt to launch a pre-election rally

smartindale / Tag: ETF, sectors, iShares, AAPL, VIX, SPY, IYF, IYH, iyw, IYK, IYE, IYZ, IYC, IDU, IYM, IYJ, V, ANAT, COO, WPI / 0 Comments

That’s been hard to figure lately.  Uncertainty has not eased.  Not in Europe.  Not in the Middle East. Not in China or Japan. Not in the U.S., with a dead-heat election battle and unknown future Congressional dynamics.  Companies overall continue to beat earnings, mostly, and miss on revenues.  Now there is a certainty: earnings cannot keep going up if revenues keep going down. Read more about What the Market Wants: Looking for Certainty Amidst Uncertainty

david / Tag: AFL, LCC, PG, DANA, YHOO, AAPL, GOOG, WDC, STX, CAT, MSFT, INTC, IBM / 0 Comments

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