Is it just me or has 2015 been a particularly crazy year? From extreme weather patterns, to a circus of a Presidential election cycle, to divergent central bank strategies, to the first triple-crown winner since 1978, to terrorist plots emanating from our neighborhoods, to counterintuitive asset class behaviors, to some of the most incredible college football finishes -- just to name a few. Read more about Sector Detector: Fed sticks to the script, but not all investors are comforted

smartindale / Tag: ETF, sectors, iShares, volatility, S&P 500, SectorCast, healthcare, utilities, technology, Financial, SPY, EWRS, VIX, IYF, iyw, IYJ, IYZ, IYC, IYK, IYH, IDU, IYM, IYE, FTEC, FHLC, FUTY, FNCL, JETS, KNOW, SRET, RYU, XHS, IGN, NEE, FE, JAZZ, CHE, FB, JNPR / 0 Comments

This year, the S&P 500 has greatly underperformed its average 18% return that it historically provides during the third year of a Presidential election cycle. But then, a lot seems to be different this year as correlations across most asset classes are high and prices are buffeted more by news events than fundamentals (which has made stock picking quite challenging). Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks break out as central banks get more dovish and seasonality kicks in

Even with many of the global issues pushed off the front page, eager bulls found yet another reason to keep the troops in the barracks. The only newsworthy items are related to corporate earnings reports, which have been mixed at best, interspersed with the occasional spectacular report -- primarily from mega-caps like Google (GOOGL), Facebook (FB), or Amazon (AMZN). Some of the bulls have taken their chips off the table until after Labor Day, while others have merely scaled back to scalping some trades. Either way, stocks appear destined to thrash about for the rest of the summer. Read more about Sector Detector: Lackluster earnings reports put eager bulls back into waiting mode

Bulls showed renewed backbone last week and drew a line in the sand for the bears, buying with gusto into weakness as I suggested they would. After all, this was the buying opportunity they had been waiting for. As if on cue, the start of the World Series launched the rapid market reversal and recovery. However, there is little chance that the rally will go straight up. Volatility is back, and I would look for prices to consolidate at this level before making an attempt to go higher. I still question whether the S&P 500 will ultimately achieve a new high before year end. Read more about Sector Detector: Bullish conviction returns, but market likely to consolidate its V-bottom

Bulls are having their way as summer draws to a close. Indeed, U.S. stocks and bonds seem to be the best and safest place to invest in a global economy that is at once hopeful and cautious, with lots of available cash hunting for attractive returns. But now the S&P 500 must deal with the ominous 2,000 level. Read more about Sector Detector: Up next for bulls, a big test of conviction

Scott MartindaleOnce again, stocks have shown some inkling of weakness. But every other time for almost three years running, the bears have failed to pile on and get a real correction in gear. Will this time be different? Read more about Sector Detector: Bold bulls dare meek bears to take another crack

U.S. stocks just continue to cruise right along, although investors seem to be displaying a healthy level of caution, looking over their shoulders as they whistle past the graveyard and bet on ongoing improvement in corporate earnings and economic growth. Despite extremely overbought technical conditions and regional hot spots that may ultimately threaten global economic recovery, investors seem undeterred. Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks cruise right along, whistling past the graveyard

Scott MartindaleStocks ended last week on a high note, closing a smidge above strong resistance at 1900 for the S&P 500, which set a new closing high for the large-cap index, albeit on low pre-holiday volume. With the Memorial Day holiday giving us a short week of trading, all eyes are on voting in Ukraine, where a decisive win for billionaire business tycoon Petro Poroshenko seems assured. Read more about Sector Detector: Breakout or another bluff? Bulls seeking confirmation this week

Scott MartindaleFacing formidable resistance and the threat of an ominous triple-top sell signal if bulls lost their battle, U.S. stocks appear to have successfully navigated a critical crossroads by finding the wherewithal to break out to new highs, with blue skies above. Among the ten U.S. business sectors, the performance leaders last week were Consumer Services, Consumer Goods, Industrial, and Financial. Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks find blue skies while economy deals with inclement weather

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, sector rotation, VIX, iyw, IYH, IYC, IYF, IYK, IDU, IYZ, IYJ, IYM, IYE, FB, PPH, PFI, ROM, BRCD, AZPN, RWT, CYS, CRVL, MYGN / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleStocks continued last week to seek some firmer footing, as prices found some support and volatility hit some resistance, and a flight to safety of global capital benefited long-term Treasury bonds -- the very assets that are supposed to be selling off in a secular “Great Rotation” into equities. Read more about Sector Detector: Flight to safety may serve as prelude to flight to quality stocks

smartindale / Tag: iShares, ETF, sectors, SPY, VIX, IYF, iyw, IYJ, IYH, IYK, IYC, IYZ, IYE, IYM, IDU, EEM, GOOG, FB, CAT, CVX, XOM, COP, SOXX, PPH, KRE, CACC, SIVB, FLT, CTSH, ACT, MWIV / 0 Comments

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