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Updated: 1 hour 13 min ago

Three Things: Are You Rich?

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 21:35
A common theme in my work over my career is that American living standards are better than they’ve ever been, and people don’t seem to know it.

Gold & Silver Selloff Continues After CPI Predictably Comes In Hotter Than Last Month

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 20:35
Both gold and silver prices fell lower on Tuesday. The gold futures declined $28 to $3,330.

Stocks And Precious Metals Charts - Baghdad Barbies And The Bubbylonians

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 20:16
Stocks did a fairly impressive 'pop and flop' today,' as the rally lost steam at new highs and then properly folded like a house of cards, finishing unchanged or in the red.

Real Hourly Earnings Of Private Workers Decline 0.1 Percent In June

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 20:15
Inflation-adjusted wages fell in June. A decline in hours worked makes it worse.

Bearish Engulfing Pattern On Confirmed Volume Distribution

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 19:55
It was the first real bearish day in a while, but one bearish day is not something to get too concerned with. For the Russell 2000 there was a sizable bearish engulfing pattern at overbought momentum.

Rates And The Dollar Are Breaking Out As Inflation Expectations Surge

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 19:35
Stocks finished mostly lower today, and it could have been far worse if not for Nvidia. The S&P 500 declined by 40 bps, while the equal-weight RSP fell sharply by 1.4%.

USD/CAD Posts Modest Losses Below 1.3750 Amid Muted Chance Of BoC Rate Cut

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 19:14
The USD/CAD pair trades with mild losses near 1.3720 during the early Asian session on Wednesday.

GBP/USD Declines Steepens As Hotter CPI Bolsters Greenback

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 18:55
GBP/USD shed weight for the eighth straight session on Tuesday.

Gold Drops As Hot CPI Report Boosts The US Dollar, Increases Fed Hold Bets

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 18:36
Gold price tumbled on Tuesday, down more than 0.40% following the release of the latest inflation report in the United States (US), which boosted the US Dollar to the detriment of the precious metal.

The Market Sees What’s Coming—And It’s Not A Rate Cut Picnic

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 18:15
This is, after all, a forward-looking machine—part seismograph, part crystal ball. Markets don’t wait for inflation to show up in full regalia; they react to the rustle of its cape.

Assessing Rate Cut Potential For Brazil And Mexico

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 18:00
Brazil has opened a 3.5% buffer, which can expand to 5% should the Fed cut. That paves the way for 200bp of cuts, but that can be under or over shot depending on how the fiscal deficit is dealt with. 

Monthly Dividend Stock In Focus: Cardinal Energy

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 17:45
Cardinal Energy’s combination of an above-average dividend yield and a monthly dividend makes it an attractive option for individual investors. But there’s more to the company than just these factors.

The Shocking Truth About Investing At All-Time Highs

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 17:30
All-time highs occur during bull markets, so it makes sense that stocks continue to rise after a new high. Bull markets don’t last indefinitely, of course, but they can last a while – often longer than anyone expects.

UBS Predicts Further Slowing Of US Economic Growth In Second Half Of 2025

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 17:15
UBS expects the US economy to slow significantly in 2025, projecting real GDP growth to fall to around 1%.

Year-Over-Year CPI Jumps 0.3 Percentage Points To 2.7 percent

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 17:00
Month-over-month and year-over-year the CPI rose 0.3 percent.

Nvidia Stock Is At A Peak - What's The Best Play Here For NVDA?

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 16:45
NVDA is at $171.30, up over 4.5% today. Trump OK'd an export license to sell its powerful H20 AI chips to China after Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, met with President Trump.

Macro Briefing - Tuesday, July 15

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 16:31
Nvidia receives approval from the Trump administration to sell its advanced H20 computer chips used to develop artificial intelligence to China.

Softs Report - Tuesday, July 15

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 16:21
Cotton was a little higher yesterday as futures continue to slowly rally despite export hopes that remain less and as growing conditions are generally good.

Modest Evidence Of Tariff Impact On June US Inflation, But That Is Set To Change

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 16:11
A slightly softer-than-expected June core inflation reading keeps alive the chances of a September Federal Reserve interest rate cut, but the risk is that we get less benign prints for July and August.

USD/JPY Surges Closer To 149.00 As US Inflation Climbs, Fed Rate Cut Bets Trimmed

Tue, 07/15/2025 - 16:00
US CPI hits 2.7% YoY, reinforcing Fed's hawkish stance amid inflation concerns.

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