Schrödinger’s Puts
The implied volatility of at-money SPX options has plummeted even faster than the below-market options.
The Monkey's Paw And Interest Rates
If the Fed were to adopt even “steeper rate cuts” than seen in the recent past, despite the robust NGDP growth, there would be a very real risk of inflation re-accelerating.Inflation is unpopular.
Yellow Flags From The November Jobs Report
Since July, only 7,000 goods producing jobs have been added, or only a .03% increase. In the past 8 months, only 39,000 goods producing jobs have been added, an increase of .18%.
It’s Liquidity, Stupid
We look at falling German IP contrasted with rising German DAX, market concentration stuff, Call vs. Puts in the 98th percentile, supportive internals, weak labor data, a long Ag trade, and a pitch for cheap protection.
Cash Crunch Set To Intensify In 2025
Some 1.2 million Canadian mortgages are set to renew in 2025.
Bitcoin ETFs See $10B Inflows Following Trump Win
The solid inflows have lifted Bitcoin ETFs’ total assets to approximately $113 billion.
NatGas 'Widowmaker' Spread Turns Negative At Earliest Point In Nearly A Decade
A natural gas trade, known as the "widowmaker" due to its extreme volatility, has gone negative at the earliest point in the season in nine years.
5 Things Driving The Bullish Stock Market Trend Right Now
Naturally, ideal trading conditions are not always present, but suffice it to say that sentiment, momentum, liquidity, FOMO (fear of missing out) and seasonal trends are strong drivers right now.
Few Bother To Respond To BLS Surveys Anymore (And Why That’s Important)
BLS response rates plunged after COVID and never recovered, especially job market surveys.
Here’s The Thing About The “State Of The Consumer”
We’ve seen the consumer discretionary sector absolutely dominate the rest of the market over the past couple months.
The Case For Gold Is Incontrovertible
Gold is now in a phase when the price will go up by multiples.
BTC Report: MSTR Ups Holdings To 423,650 Bitcoins With $2.1B Purchase
Bitcoin's market dynamics saw significant gains and volatility in November, with a key development being MicroStrategy's substantial Bitcoin acquisition.
Softs Report - Monday, Dec. 9
Cotton was lower after a weaker weekly export sales report and the trends are turning down.
FTSE On The Front Foot To Start The Week
U.K. stocks experienced an uptick on Monday following China's commitment to implement "more proactive" fiscal and monetary strategies next year aimed at enhancing domestic consumption.
Viant Technology - Using Technology For Advertising
Viant Technology offers innovative advertising solutions like Household ID, AI Bid Optimizer, and Viant Data Platform, catering to various advertising agencies and marketers.
Watching Weather And Diplomacy. The Corn & Ethanol Report
Global corn markets ended mixed, with additional buying in Chicago as March’s major moving averages now sit below the marketplace.
Nasdaq Pulls Back From Highs As Stocks Slip
Stocks are firmly lower at midday, retreating from last week's gains, though the Nasdaq Composite managed to eke out a record high this morning before pulling back.
Elliott Wave Technical Forecast: WiseTech Global Limited
The analysis aims to provide readers with insights into the current market trends and how to capitalize on them effectively.
China Promises - Manic Metals Report
Geopolitical risk factors are making gold and silver a great play and the interest in the metals has caused the CME Group to come up with an new gold contract.
When Politicians Are Away, Investors Come Out To Make Hay
Recent events show how investors prefer it when policymakers are sidelined. That provides opportunities and I feature one that I recently invested in - Aixtron.