Latest articles from TalkMarkets - Financial markets analysis and insights
Updated: 32 min 53 sec ago
AUD/USD Remains Depressed After Mixed Aussie Jobs Data; Holds Above Mid-0.6600s
The AUD/USD pair drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains to its highest level since September 17.
Just Don't With 30 Year Debt
A discussion on why locking into long 30-year debt may be risky given rapid technological change, using the historical volatility of a leading stock versus the S&P 500 and reflecting on structural exposures in today’s markets.
Brent Crude Oil Price En Route To A 7-Month Low? Here’s What To Expect
Crude oil price remains on a downtrend amid the overwhelming concerns over a supply glut in 2026. According to the IEA, the global market is expected to report a record surplus of over 4 million barrels per day in the coming year
Fed Cuts Rates As Reserve Operations Begin Amid Liquidity Strain
Today’s FOMC decision to cut rates by 25 basis points, along with the introduction of reserve management operations, was widely expected. The Fed clearly felt it had to act, announcing roughly $40 billion in bill purchases this month.
XAU/USD Drifts Higher Above $4,200 As Fed Delivers Expected Cut
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,235 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
Why Hedonic Adjustment In The CPI Shouldn’t Tick You Off
People seem to think that CPI is supposed to measure how their actual cash costs change every year. It isn’t.
Canadian Dollar Makes Fresh Headway Following Another Fed Rate Cut
The Canadian Dollar climbed 0.4% against the US Dollar on Wednesday
Stocks And Precious Metals Charts - Silver On An Amazing Bull Run
Stocks rallied on hopes of the oil of excess liquidity to calm the troubled waters of a faltering economy and pipe dreams of beneficent AI for all.
The Fed Spoke. The Market Shrugged.
Volatility crushed lower today, but it can't go much further. The futures markets are already pricing higher volatility at 19 in 42 days and 20 in 70 days.
Where Will U.S. Stocks Be In 10 Years?
Vanguard sees muted growth over the next decade.
FOMC Summary: A Split Cut And A Clear Shift Toward Caution
This meeting painted a picture of a Fed that acted reluctantly.
Here Is Why Gold Is Not In A Bubble
The Bank for International Settlements has suggested gold is drifting into "bubble territory".
Where The Real Poverty Line Is - Why Lower Inflation Isn’t Fixing The Cost Of Living
CPI and poverty line calculations miss real household cash flow.
Oracle Tumbles On Disappointing Cloud Revenue; CapEx Soars: Funding Questions Remain
Investors want to see Oracle turn its higher spending on new data center infrastructure into revenue as quickly as it has promised.
Stocks Finish Firmly Higher After Fed Cuts Rates
The Dow carried its gains through the close, finishing up 497 points after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third -- and final -- time this year.
Market Talk - Wednesday, Dec. 10
Crude Oil decreased 0.158 USD/BBL or -0.27% to 58.093.
The Business Cycle & The Markets
The increase in financial liquidity after the pandemic has weakened the traditional correlation between economic indicators and the business cycle.
Another Fed Cut, But There Is Growing Dissent
Looking at the forecasts, there is clearly a hawkish tilt. While two members voted for no change today, six members felt the "appropriate" rate should be 3.875% – not the 3.625% central range we are now at.
FX Today: Australian, U.S. Jobs Report Take Centre Stage
The US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed two daily gains in a row and collapsed to multi-week lows in the 98.60-98.50 band amid declining yields following the FOMC event on Wednesday.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Soars 580 Points On Third Straight Fed Rate Cut
The Dow Jones climbed over 1.2% on Wednesday after the Fed delivered a third straight rate cut.
