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Updated: 27 min 51 sec ago

The Time For Caution

Sun, 02/01/2026 - 11:45
The SPX has been unable to make much progress into higher price levels for a couple of months. It seems ready for a price consolidation, which means it is likely time to be a bit cautious towards stock prices in the longer-term.

The Final Domino: Why The S&P 500 Is Vulnerable To A 10% Crash

Sun, 02/01/2026 - 11:24
Silver is down 30%. Gold is down 10%. Bitcoin has dropped nearly 20% in days. We are witnessing a historic "Domino Effect" of de-risking—and this video warns that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are the next pillars to fall.

Stocks Slip Friday; Dow Extends Monthly Win Streak

Sun, 02/01/2026 - 09:23
Stocks retreated on Friday as Big Tech remained under pressure, with the Dow and Nasdaq shedding triple digits and marking a third-straight weekly loss.

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 2 And 9

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 23:57
Expectations for economic data releases coming up in the first half of February.

Market At Risk Of Correcting In A 'Risk-Off' Reset?

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 22:45
Stocks have been stuck in a compressing trading range for the past several months.

Import Trends: Output, Policy Uncertainty, And/Or Tariffs

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 21:49
The slowing of the economy (as measured by domestic final sales) and the increase in the contemporaneous tariff rate have roughly equal coefficients.

Doing Well By Doing Good: Dump Your American Stocks

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 21:00
There has been much discussion, both here and around the world, of the possibility of a flight from the dollar. This has always been a serious risk since Donald Trump took office.

Picturing Threats To The US Stock Market & Economy

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 20:15
An illustrated guide to things that should make you uneasy.

The Division Of Labor

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 19:30
We discuss why the modern discussion of the division of labor is distorted by bad theory and political incentives.

Verizon's Results Command A Premium

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 18:47
Verizon issued strong Q4 results and strong guidance for 2026. We continue to recommend investment in the telecom giant for income.

What Kevin Warsh’s Fed Nomination Could Mean For Stocks, Crypto, And Risk Assets

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 18:05
For years, equity markets have leaned on the “Fed Put” – the belief that the central bank would reliably inject liquidity at the first sign of trouble. Warsh, however, is a vocal critic of the Fed’s tendency to “pamper” markets.

S&P 500 To Defy Hot PPI While Metals Tank?

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 16:42
2026 will be a bullish year, but not as rich as last one or the one before.

Economically Weighted Regional Fed Indexes For January Suggest Continued Stagflationary Pressures

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 16:07
With one exception, the trends in December continued in January. Headline business conditions continued to indicate contraction, but at a decelerating rate.

China To Bet On Services To Make Consumers Spend Again, Will It Be Enough?

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 15:35
The move underscores Beijing’s growing recognition that traditional stimulus tools are proving less effective in lifting consumer spending.

Cenovus Vs. Enbridge: Is It Time To Step Away From Both Stocks?

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 15:05
Over the past year, Cenovus Energy has rallied 40.9%, significantly outperforming Enbridge’s 13.9% gain. But does stronger price performance automatically make Cenovus the better stock? Here's a look at the fundamentals of both companies to find out.

Accessing & Harnessing Sophisticated Strategies

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 14:40
The excitement over providing retail access to private equity seems to have turned sour with more skepticism. As the aforementioned excitement built, we talked frequently about not getting wrapped up with illiquid vehicles offering private equity.

Why I Just Raised Cash To My Highest Level In A Year

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 14:20
This past week, I raised my cash percentage to the highest level since last year's correction. I'm not ready to start pulling the trigger on short positions. But the market's conditions are becoming a lot frothier.

Collect Income From AI’s #1 Energy Partner

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 14:00
I previously discussed companies that own land and water rights, which will be important to data center build-outs. But it all starts with energy. Without energy, data centers don’t run. The electricity generator to take note of is Black Hills.

Quantum Crunched

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 13:50
Hey, remember quantum computing? That was a sector that was getting a tremendous amount of hype, in spite of no products, no revenues, and certainly no profits. It’s heartening to see sanity return to the world, as these stocks get blown to pieces.

Liquidity Drain May Signal Further Trouble For Risk Assets

Sat, 01/31/2026 - 13:40
Liquidity continues to be drained from the system, primarily through Treasury issuance and rising TGA balances, putting pressure on risk assets.

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