In any kind of downturn, credit losses are heavily concentrated in subprime lending areas and the risk-reward equation turns sharply negative.

There’s a big difference between having the best growth rates and having the worst. And if you don’t know which you have, you’re probably headed to trouble. Which is exactly where the U.S. is headed.

Options expiry drives volatility in Bitcoin and Ether markets, influencing price swings and trader behavior.

The markets are showing remarkable robustness, bouncing back from the mid-week wobble to show resilience on Friday. But this is all part of the anticipated increasing volatility.

The Initial Public Offering market has been heating up lately as investors pile into riskier areas. Several high-profile private companies, particularly in the AI and crypto space, have debuted this year with strong first-day gains.

Exploding government debt is taking over, forcing countries to lower interest rates and hike taxes not for the economy, but for the debt.

Friday’s trading briefly went above 66.000, but then a reversal lower began and going into the weekend WTI Crude Oil now stands ready to be tested again tomorrow morning.

Ether was trading at $4,000, down from the year-to-date high $4,920. So, will it rebound this week?

Around “Liberation Day,” the U.S. dollar weakened while Treasury yields rose. Some blame illiquidity in the Treasury market; others point to investors losing confidence in the dollar. This shift reflects deeper structural stress.

In light of the rapid advancements that AI tools have made since the release of ChatGPT in late 2022, people have been trying to figure out if and how the nascent technology will change the way people work.

Copper is not a hype story. It doesn’t rely on moonshot projections or retail euphoria. It’s not optional for the energy transition — it’s foundational. Investors can gain exposure through multiple strategies, including large-cap producers like FCX,

The Gold/Silver ratio has dropped to 81.7x, suggesting silver remains undervalued relative to gold. Market watchers are eyeing a potential pullback in gold, with structural support zones between 3200–3586 on the radar.

As of 2024, real estate investment trusts (REITs) have cemented their role as a $1.5 trillion segment within global capital markets, offering investors a liquid and regulated gateway to commercial real estate.

Inflation is caused by the growth of the money supply, and gold is a strong hedge because it rises alongside it.

Without tech, the US economy would have been close to a recession.

Fatigue is natural, but at the same time equity bears have failed to capitalize on it, even as the bulls continue to defend shorter-term moving averages.

This is what happens when financialization swallows the economy whole: an ETF of derivatives of an ETF of digital tokens. Four layers of abstraction from anything productive. We can now trade volatility on volatility on volatility before lunch.

How I anticipate upcoming data releases to behave.

We're seeing signs of the pain trade in several areas. Still tricky to interpret are employment numbers (note, job listings are down); USD vs loonie, yen, pound, euro, others; bonds up or down, inflation yes or no; etc.

Ethereum ETFs lost $796M during five consecutive outflow days while technical analysts predict further decline to $3,500 support levels.