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Investor Memo Q3 2025: Melt-Up, Valuation And AI

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 16:26
The CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings) ratio recently moved above 40, a threshold exceeded only once before, during the 2000 tech bubble.

Recession Watch: How Is This Economy Still Growing?

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 16:21
The stock market is a pretty good barometer of economic health…except when it’s contradicted by employment. Currently, even profitable companies aren’t hiring.

Bitcoin Shatters $125,000 All-Time High: Will Altcoins Follow Suit?

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 16:09
This rally is supported by strong ETF inflows, expansive global liquidity conditions, and a growing investor focus on non-traditional assets amid political and fiscal worries.

Look Out Below

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 16:07
We cannot anticipate every impact a recession and stock market free-fall will have on our household, but we can anticipate the possibility our income and wealth will be negatively affected and belt-tightening may be prudent.

Grayscale Stakes $150M In Ether After Launching Staking-Enabled Crypto Funds

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 16:04
Grayscale has structured the rewards to flow back to shareholders after deducting custodian and sponsor fees.

Can Plug Power’s AI Relevance Save The PLUG Stock Rally?

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:56
​​​​​​​Hydrogen fuel cell and elctrolyser systems specialist Plug Power has finally seen the cord being removed — at least when it comes to the underlying security’s incredible rally.

Agricultural Exports Through August

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:52
If soybean exports are to judge, we shouldn’t expect big sales there to rescue ag exports.

Why Top Investors Are Buying Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:33
The activity around Thermo Fisher Scientific this quarter reveals strong net buying from a diverse set of respected investors.

GDP For 2025 Q3 May Be Delayed. What Are The Current Estimates?

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:28
GDPNow issued an update today but it’s missing a lot of key inputs.

Gold Futures Hit Historic $4,000

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:26
December futures in New York, the most active contract, surpassed $4,000 for the first time as the US federal government shutdown dragged on into its second week.

The Dollar Signal Everyone's Missing Right Now

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:22
The dollar rallied with bonds today. That hasn't happened in years. And it could signal a massive rotation into US assets.

Grains Report - Tuesday, Oct. 7

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:17
Rice was lower and closed at new lows for the move. The harvest is wrapping up in Texas and southern Louisiana.

Should You Invest In CHAI Stock After Its Nasdaq Debut?

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:11
Core AI debuts on Nasdaq after reverse merger with Siyata Mobile.

Nvidia Corp. Stock: Extends Rally As Wall Street Targets Top $240 Amid AI Frenzy

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:06
Nvidia extends its record-breaking rally as Wall Street analysts boost targets to $240 and beyond, driven by massive AI chip demand and billion-dollar partnerships.

Oracle Stock Tumbles: Analysts Clash Over AI Optimism Vs Margin Squeeze

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 15:01
Massive OpenAI cloud deal highlights growth but adds financing strain.

Tariffs Impact Outlook As McCormick Stock Drops

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 14:59
McCormick stock was trending lower on Tuesday primarily due to the outlook for the rest of the year.

Why PYPL Stock Is Up Today: New Ads Platform Targets Small Business

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 14:52
PayPal stock climbed up to 6% after unveiling Ads Manager, giving small businesses a no-cost way to earn from ads.

Chewy Stock Is Still A Favorite Of Analysts As Its FCF Is Strong

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 14:47
Chewy's free cash flow (FCF) and FCF margins are expected to remain strong. People love spending money on their pets. As a result, shorting OTM puts and buying ITM long-expiry calls work here.

S&P 500 Drops: Topping Tail, Trendline & Parallel All Signal Major Resistance And Correction Loom

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 14:38
Between topping tails, trendlines and parallels, the charts are signaling caution to investors.

Top Funds Benefit From Equity Exposure

Tue, 10/07/2025 - 13:45
The U.S. now makes up about 63% of global equity indices, while the average equity weighting in MI 40-85% is 68.4% and U.S. equity weightings are 27%.

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