Stock investors entered the Fourth of July holiday on a high note, pushing the Dow Jones Industrials Index above 17,000 and the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index above 21,000, and even pushing the S&P 500 to a smidge above the upper trend line of its long-standing bullish ascending channel that has been in place for nearly three years. Read more about Sector Detector: Summer slog likely to keep a lid on further stock gains

Scott MartindaleStocks continue to hold up like troopers even though bulls have lost some traction, perhaps due to a combination of the summer doldrums and overbought technical conditions that have them biding time until the next setup for a run at new highs. To be sure, bears are AWOL and missing their opportunity to create some fear and ignite a correction. Read more about Sector Detector: Mid-year mark finds eager bulls seeking renewed traction

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U.S. stocks just continue to cruise right along, although investors seem to be displaying a healthy level of caution, looking over their shoulders as they whistle past the graveyard and bet on ongoing improvement in corporate earnings and economic growth. Despite extremely overbought technical conditions and regional hot spots that may ultimately threaten global economic recovery, investors seem undeterred. Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks cruise right along, whistling past the graveyard

Scott MartindaleAfter its long-awaiting breakout of the 1900 level the other week, the S&P 500 gained another +1.3% last week alone, but this double-low progression as I call it -- i.e., on extremely low volume and with persistently low volatility -- is worrisome. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls revel in the new normal, while bears lie in wait

Scott MartindaleStocks ended last week on a high note, closing a smidge above strong resistance at 1900 for the S&P 500, which set a new closing high for the large-cap index, albeit on low pre-holiday volume. With the Memorial Day holiday giving us a short week of trading, all eyes are on voting in Ukraine, where a decisive win for billionaire business tycoon Petro Poroshenko seems assured. Read more about Sector Detector: Breakout or another bluff? Bulls seeking confirmation this week

Rather than a Great Rotation from bonds into equities, the rotation instead has been from growth into value. Among the ten U.S. business sectors, uber-defensive sector Utilities is still the clear leader year-to-date, up more than +10%, followed by Energy and Healthcare. Healthcare and Materials were the leaders last week. Consumer Services/Discretionary remains the clear laggard YTD. Moreover, rather than bond prices falling, the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen even further to 2.52%, further indicating a flight to safety. Read more about Sector Detector: False breakout just another tease, but fundamental rankings are bullish

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, IYF, IYM, EEM, iyw, IYJ, IYZ, IYC, IYK, IYH, IDU, IYE, FTEC, FHLC, FMAT, FUTY, FSTA, FIDU, PSI, XTN, PSCM, SNDK, OPEN, ALK, UPS, BCPC, WLK / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleThe technical picture for stocks has shifted from bearish into neutral, and our fundamentals-based sector rankings appear to have moved from bullish to neutral, as well. Thus, caution remains the order of the day until either the bulls or bears can find a catalyst -- and enough recruits -- to move the ball in their direction. Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks stuck in neutral as both sides seek a directional catalyst

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, IYF, iyw, IYJ, IYZ, IYC, IYK, IYH, IDU, IYM, IYE, FTEC, FHLC, FUTY, FSTA, FIDU, SOXX, FXR, KBWP, SYNT, SNDK, WSO, HII, SBNY, RNR / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleStock market bulls made a valiant effort to fight off another looming correction last week. The economy is showing strong signs of recovery, the Fed remains confident enough to continue its stimulus tapering, and attractive alternative investments to the U.S. stock market seem scarce. Yes, bulls are all dressed up for more fun times. However, the technical picture paints a different story, at least for the near term. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls are all dressed up, but might have no place to go

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Scott MartindaleAs I suspected it might, the stock market bounced strongly last week. Weakness the prior week was due in part to traders exiting positions for vacation during the holiday-shortened week, protecting big capital gains, cashing out to pay taxes on capital gains, and “delta hedging” on put options. However, I’m not convinced that the pullback was sufficient to create the great buying opportunity -- but it was sure a tradable bounce. Read more about Sector Detector: Rejuvenated market seeks follow-through, but earnings loom large

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, VIX, SPY, IYF, iyw, IYJ, IYZ, IYC, IYK, IYH, IDU, IYM, IYE, FTEC, FHLC, FUTY, FSTA, FIDU, XLK, PPH, FXR, XLNX, RVBD, SLXP, AGN, LLL, EGL / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleThe sudden bearish turn last week in the market -- after hitting new highs the prior week -- has come fast and furious as selloffs are wont to do. And the pullback might have further still to go. But there are several reasons to expect a stabilization or bounce during this holiday-shortened week, and in any case I still expect that it eventually will turn out to be a great buying opportunity leading to higher prices later in the year. Read more about Sector Detector: Fast and furious selloff provides important market cleansing

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