Is it just me or has 2015 been a particularly crazy year? From extreme weather patterns, to a circus of a Presidential election cycle, to divergent central bank strategies, to the first triple-crown winner since 1978, to terrorist plots emanating from our neighborhoods, to counterintuitive asset class behaviors, to some of the most incredible college football finishes -- just to name a few. Read more about Sector Detector: Fed sticks to the script, but not all investors are comforted

smartindale / Tag: ETF, sectors, iShares, volatility, S&P 500, SectorCast, healthcare, utilities, technology, Financial, SPY, EWRS, VIX, IYF, iyw, IYJ, IYZ, IYC, IYK, IYH, IDU, IYM, IYE, FTEC, FHLC, FUTY, FNCL, JETS, KNOW, SRET, RYU, XHS, IGN, NEE, FE, JAZZ, CHE, FB, JNPR / 0 Comments

After displaying a classic V-bottom reversal to what turned out to be a quick and anemic attempt by the bears to bring about a real correction, bullish fervor is becoming contagious, especially as the traditionally strong holiday season approaches. Indeed, the brief selloff was snatched up as a buying opportunity as I predicted it would, but my concerns about the market consolidating and struggling to hit new highs before year end were quickly dismissed. So, with nothing but blue skies overhead, will the party simply roll on? Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls rule as volatility recedes and investors position for holiday cheer

Scott MartindaleStocks were able to leverage some optimistic news and dovish words from the Fed to take another stab at an upside breakout attempt last week. Although readers have sometimes accused me of being a permabull, I am really a realist, and the reality is that the slogans like “The trend is your friend” and “Don’t fight the Fed” are truisms. And they have worked. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls leverage hopeful news to launch a tepid breakout attempt

Scott MartindaleAs many investors enjoy the final weeks of summer, some optimistic bulls seem to be positioning themselves well ahead of Labor Day in anticipation of a fall rally. Indeed, last week’s action was impressive. After only a mere 4% correction, investors continued to brush off the disturbing violence both at home and abroad, and they took the minor pullback as their next buying opportunity. Read more about Sector Detector: Bullish investors jockey for position as if the correction is over

Now that’s what I’m talking about. I have been discussing the overbought technical conditions of the S&P 500 for some time and the need for a pullback to test bullish support levels. And as many commentators have suggested, the more time between pullbacks, the more severe is the action when it finally arrives. Bears had become very hungry after a prolonged hibernation. This week offered up a nasty pullback. Read more about Sector Detector: Patient bulls finally get a new entry point, thanks to inflation fears

Scott MartindaleMore unnerving conflicts around the globe have flared up, but as usual, U.S. equity investors have given it nary a yawn as they seem to have become pretty much numb to the steady stream of unwelcome news, particularly out of the Middle East. Now we enter the summer version of earnings season. Read more about Sector Detector: Will earnings season provide the next catalyst for stocks?

Last week’s market performance was nasty again, especially for the Small-cap Growth style/cap, down 4%.  Large-caps faired the best, losing only 2.7%.  That’s ugly and today’s market seemed likely to be uglier today with escalating tensions over the weekend in Ukraine.  Read more about What the Market Wants: Positive News and Stocks at Bargain Prices

david / Tag: SWKS, JAZZ, EMES, C / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleThe sudden bearish turn last week in the market -- after hitting new highs the prior week -- has come fast and furious as selloffs are wont to do. And the pullback might have further still to go. But there are several reasons to expect a stabilization or bounce during this holiday-shortened week, and in any case I still expect that it eventually will turn out to be a great buying opportunity leading to higher prices later in the year. Read more about Sector Detector: Fast and furious selloff provides important market cleansing

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, SPY, VIX, iyw, IYH, IDU, IYJ, IYE, IYK, IYC, IYZ, IYM, IYF, TFX, EIX, GAS, CELG, VMW, AXE, SOXX, BBH, FXU, FTEC, FHLC, FUTY, FSTA, FENY, FIDU, NFLX, DDD, ACT, JAZZ / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleAlthough the large caps set new highs early on Friday, small caps and NASDAQ have not come close to their prior highs. Friday closed with extreme weakness across the board, and it was on high volume. The technical picture and our fundamentals-based sector rankings have both taken a bearish turn, so we might see more weakness ahead. Read more about Sector Detector: Rankings take a bearish turn as the flight to safety solidifies

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, JAZZ, NFLX, TSLA, iyw, IDU, IYJ, IYE, IYH, IYK, IYC, IYZ, IYM, IYF, PSCU, IXJ, TAN, PSI, PSX, AGN, HP, WDC, SNDK / 0 Comments

Today’s market was strong with lots of volume to open the week and close the quarter.  The strongest index of the day was the Russell 2000, up 1.8%, followed by the S&P 500, up 0.8%, and the NASDAQ, up 0.7%.  NYSE volume was a strong 810 million.  The S&P 500 squeaked out a narrow 0.7% gain for the month, which is better than the NASDAQ’s 2.5% drop and the Russell 2000’s 1% drop.  The biotechnology ETF, IBB, delivered an exceptionally strong perfo Read more about What the Market Wants: Where are Valuations Now?

david / Tag: IBB, ALK, JAZZ, MRVL / 0 Comments

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