As everyone knows, stocks do not go up in a straight line, not even during the holidays. So although the future looks bright for U.S. equities as the major indexes continue to hit or challenge new highs, the market has been gasping for a breather to gather bullish conviction. My fear has been that we might not see it until January, which likely would have resulted in a more severe correction at that time. But falling oil prices and a weak Energy sector seems to have introduced a reason to sell this week. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls revel in new highs and blue skies, but oil introduces a dark cloud

After displaying a classic V-bottom reversal to what turned out to be a quick and anemic attempt by the bears to bring about a real correction, bullish fervor is becoming contagious, especially as the traditionally strong holiday season approaches. Indeed, the brief selloff was snatched up as a buying opportunity as I predicted it would, but my concerns about the market consolidating and struggling to hit new highs before year end were quickly dismissed. So, with nothing but blue skies overhead, will the party simply roll on? Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls rule as volatility recedes and investors position for holiday cheer

Although the stock market displayed weakness last week as I suggested it would, bulls aren’t going down easily. In fact, they’re going down swinging, absorbing most of the blows delivered by hesitant bears. Despite holding up admirably when weakness was both expected and warranted, and although I still see higher highs ahead, I am still not convinced that we have seen the ultimate lows for this pullback. A number of signs point to more weakness ahead. Read more about Sector Detector: Bulls go down swinging, refusing to give up much ground

Did you buy a market index call option in advance of the Scott MartindaleFOMC announcement on Wednesday? Maybe a straddle? Or did you at least hold pat on long positions knowing that you held an implicit “Fed put” against any meaningful downside? It seems like many investors did one of these, as markets have been strong in advance of today’s announcement. Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks have a friend in the Fed

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, FDX, CTSH, QCOM, EOG, EQT, iyw, IYE, IYF, IYJ, IYM, IYH, IDU, IYZ, IYC, IYK, JAZZ, GNW, EPL, OCN / 0 Comments

Technology led today’s robust rally as the dollar continued to weaken. Financials, especially banks, remained strong the first three days of last week then fell to profit-taking on the final two days, ending down a little more than -0.5% for the week.  Today, that sector regained all of that loss and advanced an extra 25 basis points to reach near multi-year highs, although it is still more than 50% off its early 2007 high. Read more about What the Market Wants: Good Start to a New Week

david / Tag: acn, DFS, DISCA, DKS, FDX, NKE, ORCL, TIF, VLO, VXX / 0 Comments

The market is off to a great start this week, powered by last week's momentum and further buoyed by a lessening of fears about Europe's sovereign debt. All the major indices are above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with the S&P 500 finally breaking out of the 1120 resistance level, closing today at 1141, a new 4-month high. As an interesting historical aside, the 1120 resistance level was first encountered way back in April 1998. Read more about What the Market Wants: S&P 500 Sets New 4-Month High

david / Tag: BBY, BJGP, CSCO, CVU, FDX, GME, HPQ, IBM, JPM, MA, OPLK, ORCL, RIMM, SCVL, TXN, WATG / 0 Comments

The abundance of news last week -- most with a positive slant -- finally boosted the S&P 500 out of the Channel of Gloom in which it was mired for so long. Not only did the S&P 500 break out of the channel, but it is now threatening the 200-day moving average, having surpassed the 50-day MA last week. Read more about WHAT THE MARKET WANTS: The Thundering of Little Feet

david / Tag: AAPL, AET, AFL, AMZN, BA, CIT, F, FCFS, FDX, GOOG, IBM, LVS, MOT, MRK, MS, NTSC, RGR, S, sectors, SNE, TESS, V, XOM / 0 Comments